Wait months for a new car, or buy one now as used car prices continue to decrease? - report

A near-new car could be a good alternative for someone who doesn't want to wait months for delivery.
Chris Thompson

Senior Journalist

2 min read

New data shows that not only are used-car prices decreasing month by month, but also year by year, as the cost of buying a used car is now, on average, lower than it was a year ago.

Reporting by Moody's Analytics says that "month-to-month declines have now turned into year-to-year declines, with the index below its previous year value for three consecutive months".

Associate Economist Catarina Noro says the price on average for a used car is now 6.3 per cent lower than it was a year ago, with a 0.6 average drop between January and February.

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Increased new-car availability is part of the reason for easing prices in the used-car market, though the problems caused by the pandemic in terms of supply issues still plague the industry, and used-car prices are still significantly higher than their 2019 equivalents.

"Our index in February is 59 per cent higher than during the same month in 2019, one year before the pandemic," the report by Noro says.

"Nevertheless, we are expecting that used-vehicle prices will continue to come down during the next months, on the back of better supply-side conditions and as global growth slows down in 2023."

As mentioned, some of the key issues in terms of supply from the demand continue to ease, with semiconductor availability on track to improve significantly.

"In December, the global semiconductor lead time - the time it takes for a semiconductor to reach the end consumer - had the largest month-to-month decline in several years, falling by one week to 24 weeks."

Moody's Analytics says it expects to see used car prices "fall by slightly more than 10 per cent over the year".

Chris Thompson

Senior Journalist

CarsGuide’s Senior Journalist Chris Thompson has never had a ‘real job’ outside being a motoring journalist, which makes him the perfect candidate to inform you about everything happening in the world of new cars. Even as a teenager, while studying journalism at university and stacking shelves at a Brisbane bottle shop, he became a contributor to Unique Cars Magazine in 2014. There he specialised in covering classic car events and writing stories of his own and others’ car ownership. Shortly after packing up his 1992 VW Golf GTI and moving to Melbourne, he worked stints as Deputy Editor at industry titles Australasian Bus and Coach Magazine, and Farms & Farm Machinery Magazine under then Bauer Media’s umbrella, but being a full-time motoring journalist remained his goal. After a few months in Melbourne, he became the first digital journalist at performance car title MOTOR Magazine in 2017. He soon got to grips with the new car industry, becoming probably the youngest full-time journalist and road-tester in Australia at the time, at just 22 years old. A few years at MOTOR saw him become a seasoned reviewer with a particular skill for on-road assessment, as well as becoming adept at video presenting and finding and writing left-of-field motoring stories, sometimes at a rate of several a day. He traded track days and supercharged V8s for family SUVs and fuel efficiency tests when he transferred across the office to Australia’s longest-running motoring publication, Wheels Magazine. There he continued to hone his skills as a reviewer driving mass-market cars with more seats and less power. He also ran Wheels’ news section for a high-intensity period during Melbourne’s infamous lockdowns. Now, Chris brings more than a decade of motoring journalism experience to the team at CarsGuide as a Senior Journalist. He joined in 2022 and works across areas ranging from the news desk and road tests to international new car launches. He also leads the editorial side of CarsGuide’s social media content. He doesn’t get nearly as much time in his 1989 Mazda MX-5 as he would like, as he’s usually behind the wheel of a new car, constantly familiarising himself with the increasingly fast pace the new car industry is changing. When he’s not working, he’s probably playing Australian Rules football, seeing live music, or answering everyone’s car questions at the pub. You can find Chris on LinkedIn and Instagram. Expertise Road testing New car news Performance cars Video presenting and broadcasting Social media content Education Bachelor of Journalism | Queensland University of Technology | 2013-2015 Featured Publications Unique Cars Magazine | 2014-2017 Australasian Bus and Coach | 2016 Farms & Farm Machinery | 2016-2017 MOTOR Magazine | 2017-2020 WhichCar | 2018-2022 Wheels Magazine | 2020-2022 CarsGuide | 2022-present
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