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Car values in five years


New car prices are on the rise, demand is on the decline, used prestige cars have become hen's teeth and yet interest rates are spiralling to historic lows.

It's a difficult market for the new car buyer who's chasing value.

So we've come up with the list of the six best light cars and sports cars: Ones that will hold their value more than others over a five-year period.

And just to show you how better these cars are compared with others, we've included the model that is expected to devalue the most.

Australian-built cars provide a comparison. For example, the base-model Ford Falcon is expected to retain 27 per cent of its value after five years, slicing more than two-thirds off its $37,690 purchase price to $10,176. Toyota and Holden products are similar.

Glass's Information Services' Operations manager, Chris D'Sousa, devised a future value list that forecasts what new models will be worth in five years.

It's used mainly for fleet buyers — government, councils and big business — though has implications for private motorists.

Rather than crystal-ball gazing, Mr D'Souza says there's a lot of analysing of data from a broad field.

"Forecasting includes 20 indicators and to that is applied an adjustment factor," he says.

"For example, we knew the VE Commodore was coming so values of the then current VZ Commodore were adjusted downwards early.

"We use the data of 40,000 cars each month and then adjust for odometer readings, condition, the type of model, the options and so on.

"These are some of the factors that are used to determine future value."

Private buyers can determine the future value of their next car by visiting www.glassguide.com.au and clicking on the yellow VW Beetle.

 

LIGHT CARS:

 

1. RENAULT Clio Sport 197:

new $36,490

after 5yrs — $15,690

retained value — 43%

 

2. PEUGEOT 207 (range):

new from $26,990

after 5yr $11,336

retained value — 42%

 

3. VOLKSWAGEN Polo GTi:

new $26,990

after 5yr $11,336

retained value — 42%

 

4. FIAT 500 Lounge:

new $28,990

after 5yr $12,176

retained value — 42%

 

5. SUZUKI Swift:

new $19,990

after 5yr $7996

retained value — 40%

 

6. MAZDA2:

new $20,860

after 5yr $8344

retained value — 40%

 

7. KIA Rio hatch:

new $16,990

after 5yr $5267

retained value — 31%

 

Sports cars have traditionally held their heads higher on the resale list because of their emotive value.

Buyers yearning for an exotic sports car generally wait until one falls in their price range and often that means a used example.

So prices are stronger than, say, sedans. However, all are not equal.

Note that the Top 6 in this list are, with the exception of the RX-8, all convertibles. The RX-8 enters this fraternity partially because it is a four-seater sports car.

Unusually, an Alfa Romeo makes it into the Top 6 with the Spider 3.2-litre V6. However, in the same breath, one of the lowest in the list is also an Alfa — this time a GT Coupe.

 

SPORTS CARS:

1. BMW 125i Convertible:

new $79,644

after 5yr $36,636

retained value — 46%

 

2. MAZDA MX-5:

new $49,835

after 5yr $22,426

retained value — 45%

 

3. ALFA Romeo Spider 3.2

new $92,990

after 5yr $41,846

retained value — 45%

 

4. NISSAN 350Z Roadster:

new $75,490

after 5yr $33,971

retained value — 45%

 

5. MAZDA RX-8:

new $58,084

after 5yr $26,138

retained value — 45%

 

6. VOLKSWAGEN Eos:

new $50,430

after 5yr $22,694

retained value — 45%

 

7. ALFA Romeo GT Coupe:

new $69,990

after 5yr $19,597

retained value — 28%

 

COMPARISON CARS:

FORD G6E Turbo:

new $56,390

after 5yr $18,045

retained value — 32%

 

HOLDEN Calais Sportwagen:

new $57,290

after 5yr $18,333

retained value — 32%

 

HOLDEN Commodore Omega:

new $36,890

after 5yr $11,067

retained value — 30%

 

TOYOTA Camry:

new $28,490

after 5yr $8262

retained value — 29%

 

TOYOTA Aurion Prodigy:

new $39,990

after 5yr $11,197

retained value — 28%

 

FORD Falcon XT:

new $37,690

after 5yr $10,176

retained value — 27%

 

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